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November 3, 2025 at 9:15 a.m. EST
Good morning. October is in the books. The S&P 500 extended its winning streak to six consecutive months driven by AI spending/optimism. However, the equal weight version of the index and the S&P 400 & 600 indices all ended the month lower. It is a Merger Monday with over $70B of M&A deals announced (more below). In addition, the AI related news flow continues. Microsoft received US approval to ship Nvidia (+2%) chips to the UAE and also signed a nearly $10B 5yr cloud contract with IREN (+20%), who will in turn use some of the prepayment to purchase >$5B of GPUs and equipment from Dell (>3%). And just now OpenAI announced a $38B web services deal with Amazon (+5%). Futures had come off the best levels but just popped on that deal announcement. S&P futures are up ~0.4% but Dow and Russell futures are a touch lower. Commodities are mostly higher. Oil prices are around unchanged. As widely expected, over the weekend OPEC+ announced a production increase of 137k bpd. . Precious metals are moving modestly higher while copper is around unchanged. The crypto complex continues to struggle. Bitcoin is down ~1.5% breaking back below 110k. Final S&P Global manufacturing PMI will be released at 9:45 followed by ISM Manufacturing at 10:00.
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